Results of a new poll carried out by PPP (D) were published. The poll asked respondents from West Virginia for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.
PPP (D) poll results
The results show that 30.0% of participants are going to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's margin of error of +/-2.8 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. In general, don't be too confident the results of a single poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The resulting figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 3.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's margin of error.