The Jerome model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.7% for Trump in Ohio. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win only 48.7% of the vote.
Ohio is traditionally a swing state, where the two major political parties have often won similar levels of voter support. Therefore, the election outcome in that state is viewed as critical in determining the overall result of the presidential election.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon different methods and data. The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 51.3% of the two-party vote in Ohio.