New Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll in Maryland: Clinton with whopping advantage
Results of a new poll carried out by Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland were distributed. The poll asked interviewees from Maryland for whom they will vote: Donald·Trump or Hillary·Clinton.
Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll results
Of those who answered the question, 63.0% said that they will vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 28.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 30 to April 3.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, as they often contain substantial errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy consult combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 69.2% for Clinton and 30.8% for Trump.
Results vs. other polls
If we look at an average of Maryland polls, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 69.0%. Compared to her numbers in the Washington Post/Univ. Of Maryland poll Clinton's poll average is 0.2 percentage points worse.
The poll compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 64.4% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that Polly's forecast is 4.8 points below her polling numbers.