The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, whereas Trump will win 64.5%.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be interpreted with caution, as they can incorporate large biases. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that incorporates different methods and data.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.2 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.