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Issues and Leaders model shows Clinton in the lead


The Issues and Leaders model enters the index models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 51.3% for Clinton, and 48.7% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models can contain substantial biases, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results vs. other index models

Clinton currently achieves 53.9% of the two-party vote in an average of recent index models. In comparison to numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model Clinton's index model average is 2.6 percentage points better.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issues and Leaders model for Clinton are thus 1.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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