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Issue-index model shows Clinton in the lead


The Issue-index model enters the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 56.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 43.4%.

Putting the results in context

Individual index models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to other index models

Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.2%. This value is 2.4 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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