The Issue-index model enters the index models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 56.6% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 43.4%.
Putting the results in context
Individual index models may include substantial errors, and should be treated with caution. At least, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other index models
Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 54.2%. This value is 2.4 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Issue-index index model.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 52.9% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issue-index model for Clinton are thus 3.7 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.