DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 91.9% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will win 8.1%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models may incorporate substantial errors, and should be interpreted with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.