DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.7%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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