DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will win 66.7%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can include large biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The current PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.