The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.
Putting the results in context
Single models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.