DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will receive 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will win 64.0%.

Putting the results in context

Single models often contain substantial biases, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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