PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
The results show that 30.0% of interviewees intend to cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 57.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from April 29 to May 1 among 1201 likely voters. Given the poll's margin of error of +/-2.8 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be treated with caution, since they often include substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. That is, the PollyVote forecast is 3.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's sampling error.