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Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

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The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be regarded with caution, because they may incorporate substantial errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, the recommended strategy consult combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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