The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be interpreted with caution, because they often include substantial errors. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.