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DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. It currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they may include large errors. Instead of relying on results from single models, forecasting research recommends to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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