PPP (D) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from West Virginia were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
According to the results, 30.0% of respondents intend to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 57.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from April 29 to May 1 with 1201 likely voters. The error margin is +/-2.8 points, which means that the poll results for both candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, because they can incorporate large biases. Rather than trusting the results from single polls, the recommended strategy look at combined polls or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 34.5% for Clinton and 65.5% for Trump.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. This means that the PollyVote is 3.4 points below his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's sampling error.