West Virginia: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 33.3% of the two-party vote share in West Virginia, whereas Trump will end up with 66.7%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to achieve 66.8% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, you should not be overly confident the results of an individual econometric model. Instead of relying on results from single models, one should use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 4.6 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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