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Oregon: Tossup between Clinton and Trump in new Clout Research (R) poll

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Clout Research (R) released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Oregon were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Clout Research (R) poll results
42

Clinton

44

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 42.0% said that they intend to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 44.0% declared that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from May 10 to May 13. A total of 657 likely voters responded. The error margin is +/-3.8 percentage points. This means that the levels of voter support for both candidates do not differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls may include large errors, which is why they should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 48.8% for Clinton and 51.2% for Trump. In the most recent Clout Research (R) poll on July 13 Clinton obtained 51.8%, while Trump obtained only 48.2%.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 41.2% of the two-party vote in Oregon. This means that Polly's combined forecast is 10.0 points below her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error reveals that this difference is significant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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