NBC-WSJ-Marist poll in Illinois: Clinton with 25 points lead

NBC-WSJ-Marist published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Illinois were asked for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

According to the results, 57.0% of interviewees plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 32.0% plan to vote for real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from March 4 to March 10. A total of 1968 registered voters responded.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, as they can incorporate large errors. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, we translate them into shares of the two-party vote. This procedure results in figures of 64.0% for Clinton and 36.0% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Illinois. Hence, the combined PollyVote is 5.7 points below her polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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