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Kansas: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

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The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 36.0% of the two-party vote share in Kansas, whereas Trump will end up with 64.0%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, as they can contain large biases. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should use combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 56.6% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.4 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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