Jerome model shows Clinton in the lead

The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 13.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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