The Jerome model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 86.4% for Clinton, and 13.6% for Trump. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to end up with only 13.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models can contain substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 4.6 percentage points more compared to the results of the Jerome model.