The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.