Hawaii: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, while Trump will win 29.9%. In comparison, on August 16 Trump was still predicted to achieve 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often contain substantial errors. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 3.5 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Hawaii.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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