FOX 5 Atlanta released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Georgia were asked for whom they will vote: Republican nominee Donald Trump or Democrat nominee Hillary Clinton.
FOX 5 Atlanta poll results
According to the results, former New York Senator Hillary Clinton and real estate developer Donald Trump have equal levels of support, each with 43.0% of the vote.
The poll was carried out from August 17 to August 17 with 730 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's sampling error of +/-3.6 percentage points, the results reflect a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be regarded with caution, because they can include substantial biases. At least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to forecasts from other methods, you can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The results of the actual poll mean 50.0 % for Clinton and 50.0 % for Trump in the two-party vote share. To compare: Only 48.2% was gained by Clinton in the FOX 5 Atlanta poll on May 15, for Trump this result was 51.8%.
Results in comparison to other polls
An average of recent polls in Georgia sees Clinton at 48.9% of the two-party vote. In comparison to the average forecast of other polls Clinton performed 1.1 percentage points better in the poll. This deviation is outside the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is an outlier.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 47.8% and Trump 52.2% of the two-party vote in Georgia. Clinton has 2.2 percentage points more when the results of the poll are compared to the combined PollyVote forecast for Georgia. The PollyVote forecast is therefore outside the poll's sampling error.