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Emerson poll in Missouri: Trump with 13 points lead

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Results of a new poll carried out by Emerson were released. The poll asked interviewees from Missouri for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.

Emerson poll results
34

Clinton

47

Trump

Of those who replied, 34.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 9 to September 13 with 600 likely voters.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 42.0% for Clinton and 58.0% for Trump.

Comparison to other polls

Looking at an average of Missouri polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 54.6%. Relative to his numbers in the Emerson poll Trump's poll average is 3.5 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. Hence, the PollyVote is 4.6 points below his polling numbers.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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