Results of a new poll carried out by Emerson were released. The poll asked interviewees from Missouri for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
Emerson poll results
Of those who replied, 34.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 47.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from September 9 to September 13 with 600 likely voters.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single polls, because they sometimes contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, the best practice is to look at combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
In order to make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into two-party vote shares. This yields figures of 42.0% for Clinton and 58.0% for Trump.
Comparison to other polls
Looking at an average of Missouri polls, Trump's current two-party vote share is at 54.6%. Relative to his numbers in the Emerson poll Trump's poll average is 3.5 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 53.4% of the two-party vote in Missouri. Hence, the PollyVote is 4.6 points below his polling numbers.