DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 91.9% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 8.1%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to collect only 42.7% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't put too much trust in the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.9 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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