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DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

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The DeSart model provided an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, whereas Trump will win 74.5%. In comparison, on August 16, Clinton was predicted to win 74.6% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they may contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that relies on different methods and data.

The DeSart model in comparison with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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