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Connecticut: 15 points lead for Clinton in new Emerson poll

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Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat candidate Hillary Clinton or Republican candidate Donald Trump.

Emerson poll results
50

Clinton

35

Trump

Of those who responded, 50.0% said that they plan to vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, whereas 35.0% revealed that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5, among a random sample of 1000 likely voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.0 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the gap between both candidates is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, because they often contain large errors. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

The poll in comparison with PollyVote's forecast

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 57.1% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. Hence, the PollyVote is 1.7 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus in line with the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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