Clinton and Trump virtually tied in latest 538 (polls-plus) model
The 538 (polls-plus) model released an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 51.2% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 48.8%. In comparison, on September 14 Trump was predicted to obtain 48.6% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, don't be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Looking at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.8%. This value is 1.5 percentage points lower than corresponding numbers in the 538 (polls-plus) model.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the 538 (polls-plus) model for Clinton are thus 1.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.