Wyoming: DeSart model shows Trump in the lead

The DeSart model enters the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. It currently forecasts a major vote share of 25.5% for Clinton, and 74.5% for Trump in Wyoming.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, you should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can contain large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, you should look at combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that draws upon forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote predicts Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 9.1 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Wyoming.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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