Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 33.5%.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.