Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will receive 66.5% of the two-party vote share in Vermont, whereas Trump will win 33.5%.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, one should not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they often incorporate large errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

The DeSart model compared with PollyVote's forecast

The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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