NBC-WSJ-Marist poll in Illinois: Trump trails by 25 points
NBC-WSJ-Marist published the results of a new poll. In this poll, respondents from Illinois were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
NBC-WSJ-Marist poll results
Of those who responded, 57.0% said that they would vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, whereas 32.0% indicated that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from March 4 to March 10, among a random sample of 1968 registered voters.
Putting the results in context
Individual polls should be interpreted with caution, as they can include large errors. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 64.0% for Clinton and 36.0% for Trump.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Illinois. That is, the PollyVote is 5.7 points below her polling numbers.