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Minnesota: New Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll shows Clinton with 5 points lead

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Results of a new poll carried out by Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon were spread. The poll asked interviewees from Minnesota for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll results
43

Clinton

38

Trump

Of those who answered the question, 43.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 38.0% declared that they would give their vote to billionaire Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from January 18 to January 20, among a random sample of 800 registered voters. There is a sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Single polls should be interpreted with caution, since they often incorporate large biases. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, you can translate them into two-party vote shares. This procedure results in figures of 53.1% for Clinton and 46.9% for Trump. On September 14 Clinton obtained 57.8% in the Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll and Trump obtained only 42.2%.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 56.0% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 2.9 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error indicates that this deviation is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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