Jerome model: Trump trails by a very clear margin

The Jerome model enters the econometric models component of the PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 86.4% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 13.6%.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, the best practice scientific advice is to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the Jerome model for Clinton are thus 4.6 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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