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DeSart model: Trump with very clear lead in Kentucky

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The DeSart model published an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 35.5% for Clinton, and 64.5% for Trump in Kentucky.

Putting the results in context

Single models should be treated with caution, since they can include large biases. Rather, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote expects Trump to gain 58.2% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 6.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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