The Issues and Leaders model is part of the index models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will receive 51.3% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will win 48.7%.
Putting the results in context
Single index models should be treated with caution, as they can include large errors. Rather, one should check how a index model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other index models
Looking at an average of index models, Clinton's two-party vote share is currently at 54.1%. This value is 2.8 percentage points higher than respective numbers in the Issues and Leaders index model.
The Issues and Leaders model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 53.1% of the two-party vote. The results of the Issues and Leaders model for Clinton are thus 1.8 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.