Hit enter after type your search item

Virtual tie between Trump and Clinton in latest LA Times poll

/
/
/
6 Views

LA Times released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

LA Times poll results
45

Clinton

44

Trump

According to the results, 45.0% of interviewees indicated that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was in the field between September 4 and September 10. The sample size was 2565 participants. There is a sampling error of +/-4.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.

Putting the results in context

Single polls may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 50.6% for Clinton and 49.4% for Trump.

Results vs. other polls

If we look at an average of polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 52.0%. Relative to numbers in the LA Times poll Clinton's poll average is 1.4 percentage points higher. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. That is, Polly's forecast is 2.2 points above polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this difference is negligible.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

This div height required for enabling the sticky sidebar