LA Times released the results of a new national poll, in which respondents were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
LA Times poll results
According to the results, 45.0% of interviewees indicated that they would vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, whereas 44.0% are going to vote for businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was in the field between September 4 and September 10. The sample size was 2565 participants. There is a sampling error of +/-4.5 percentage points. Considering this error margin, the race is currently a statistical tie.
Putting the results in context
Single polls may incorporate large errors, and should be treated with caution. At the very least, one should check how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
To make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 50.6% for Clinton and 49.4% for Trump.
Results vs. other polls
If we look at an average of polls, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 52.0%. Relative to numbers in the LA Times poll Clinton's poll average is 1.4 percentage points higher. This margin is within the poll's error margin, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote predicts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. That is, Polly's forecast is 2.2 points above polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's margin of error shows that this difference is negligible.