The Lewis-Beck & Tien model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. According to the model, Clinton will garner 51.1% of the two-party vote share, while Trump will end up with 48.9%.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. In general, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of an individual econometric model. At least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Comparison to other econometric models
Clinton currently runs at 49.8% of the major two-party vote according to an average of recent econometric models. This value is 1.3 percentage points lower than respective numbers in the Lewis-Beck & Tien model.
The Lewis-Beck & Tien model compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. The results of the Lewis-Beck & Tien model for Clinton are thus 1.7 percentage points below the combined PollyVote.