The Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.5% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.5%.
Putting the results in context
Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.8% of the two-party vote. Compared to numbers in the Holbrook model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.7 percentage points worse.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Holbrook model.