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Holbrook model shows Clinton in the lead


The Holbrook model provided an updated prediction of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will achieve 52.5% of the two-party vote share, whereas Trump will end up with 47.5%.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, as they can incorporate substantial errors. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results in comparison to other econometric models

An average of recent econometric models sees Clinton at 49.8% of the two-party vote. Compared to numbers in the Holbrook model Clinton's econometric model average is 2.7 percentage points worse.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 0.3 percentage points more compared to the results of the Holbrook model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

Please let us know if you find any typos, missing words, or grammatical errors. Your feedback helps us to further improve the quality of the texts.

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