Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.
Emerson poll results
The results show that 50.0% of participants indicated that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
The poll was carried out from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-3.0 percentage points. This means that the poll results for both candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.
The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction
The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that Polly's prediction is 1.6 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.