Emerson poll in Connecticut: Trump trails by 15 points

Emerson published the results of a new poll. In this poll, interviewees from Connecticut were asked for whom they will vote: Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump.

The results show that 50.0% of participants indicated that they plan to vote for former First Lady Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% plan to vote for billionaire Donald Trump.

The poll was carried out from September 2 to September 5 with 1000 likely voters. The sampling error is +/-3.0 percentage points. This means that the poll results for both candidates differ significantly.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not put too much trust in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

In order to make the results comparable to benchmark forecasts, you can convert them into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 58.8% for Clinton and 41.2% for Trump.

The poll compared with PollyVote's prediction

The current PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 57.2% of the two-party vote in Connecticut. This means that Polly's prediction is 1.6 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's margin of error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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