DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead
The DeSart model provided an updated prediction of the election result. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 91.9% for Clinton, and 8.1% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, a good strategy is to not focus too much on the results of an individual econometric model. Rather than trusting the results from single models, the best practice is to use combined models or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 91.0% of the two-party vote. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 0.9 percentage points above the combined PollyVote.