DeSart model in Wyoming: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model published an updated forecast of the election result. According to the model, Clinton will receive 25.5% of the two-party vote share in Wyoming, while Trump will win 74.5%. In comparison, on September 12 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, because they can incorporate large errors. Instead of trusting the results from single models, the recommended strategy look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that uses different methods and data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The latest PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 65.4% of the two-party vote in Wyoming. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 9.1 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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