DeSart model in West Virginia: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a major vote share of 33.3% for Clinton, and 66.7% for Trump in West Virginia.
Putting the results in context
In general, however, a good strategy is to not have too much faith in the results of single models, since they often incorporate large errors. Rather than relying on results from single models, one should look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that includes different methods and data.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Trump to gain 62.1% of the two-party vote in West Virginia. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 4.6 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in West Virginia.