DeSart model in Vermont: Clinton with very clear lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election result. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on September 12 Trump was still predicted to win 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Individual models should be treated with caution, because they often incorporate substantial biases. At least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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