DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead

The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on September 12 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

Single models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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