DeSart model in Kansas: Trump is in the lead
The DeSart model is part of the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote. The model currently forecasts a major vote share of 36.0% for Clinton, and 64.0% for Trump in Kansas. In comparison, on September 12 Trump was predicted to gain 0.0% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
Single models often incorporate substantial errors, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should check how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 56.7% of the two-party vote in Kansas. PollyVote currently predicts Trump to gain 7.3 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.