DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead

The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%.

Putting the results in context

Single models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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