DeSart model in Hawaii: Clinton is in the lead
The DeSart model is captured in the econometric models component of the combined PollyVote forecast. According to the model, Clinton will obtain 70.1% of the two-party vote share in Hawaii, whereas Trump will end up with 29.9%.
Putting the results in context
Single models may contain large biases, which is why they should be interpreted with caution. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 66.6% of the two-party vote in Hawaii. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 3.5 percentage points less compared to the results of the DeSart model.