The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. According to the model, Clinton will collect 35.5% of the two-party vote share in Kentucky, while Trump will end up with 64.5%. In comparison, on September 12, Clinton was predicted to gain 64.5% of the vote.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, models are subject to bias. Hence, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. At the very least, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote forecast
The current PollyVote foresees Trump to gain 58.3% of the two-party vote in Kentucky. The results of the DeSart model for Trump are thus 6.2 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Kentucky.