Clinton leads in Vermont by 21 points in latest Emerson poll

Results of a new poll administered by Emerson were spread. The poll asked respondents from Vermont for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

The results show that 47.0% of respondents are going to cast a ballot for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 26.0% are going to cast a ballot for businessman Donald Trump.

The poll was conducted from September 2 to September 5 among 600 likely voters. Taking into account the poll's margin of error of +/-3.9 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As a general rule, however, don't have too much faith in the results of single polls, since they often contain large errors. At least, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

To make the results comparable to forecasts from benchmark methods, one can translate them into shares of the two-party vote. The corresponding figures are 64.4% for Clinton and 35.6% for Trump. In the latest Emerson poll on September 12 Clinton received only 35.6%, while Trump received only 0.0%.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote foresees Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. Hence, the PollyVote forecast is 0.1 points above her polling numbers. Again, a look at the poll's sampling error indicates that this deviation is insignificant.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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