The Lockerbie model is included in the econometric models component of the PollyVote forecast. It currently predicts a two-party vote share of 50.4% for Clinton, and 49.6% for Trump.
Putting the results in context
Single models should be treated with caution, as they can include large biases. Rather, one should examine how a model's results compare to benchmark forecasts.
Results in comparison to other econometric models
If we look at an average of econometric models, Clinton's current two-party vote share is at 49.8%. Compared to numbers in the Lockerbie model Clinton's econometric model average is 0.6 percentage points lower.
The Lockerbie model compared with PollyVote's forecast
The most recent PollyVote forecasts Clinton to gain 52.8% of the two-party vote. PollyVote currently predicts Clinton to gain 2.4 percentage points more compared to the results of the Lockerbie model.