Vermont: DeSart model shows Clinton in the lead

The DeSart model released an updated forecast of the election outcome. The model currently forecasts a two-party vote share of 66.5% for Clinton, and 33.5% for Trump in Vermont. In comparison, on September 11, Clinton was predicted to achieve only 33.5% of the vote.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, models are subject to bias. As a result, one should not be overly confident the results of a single econometric model. Rather than relying on results from single models, we recommend to look at combined models or, even better, a combined forecast that relies on forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.

Comparison to the combined PollyVote

The most recent PollyVote anticipates Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Vermont. The results of the DeSart model for Clinton are thus 2.0 percentage points above the combined PollyVote in Vermont.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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