UtahPolicy/Dan Jones released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Utah were asked for whom they will vote: Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton.
UtahPolicy/Dan Jones poll results
According to the results, 27.0% of participants will give their vote to former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 36.0% would vote for billionaire Donald Trump.
This poll was conducted from June 8 to June 17, among a random sample of 614 registered voters. The margin of error is +/-4.0 points. This means that the levels of voter support for the two candidates differ significantly.
Putting the results in context
Single polls can include large errors, and should be interpreted with caution. Instead of relying on results from single polls, the recommended strategy use combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses forecasts from different methods, each of which draws upon different data.
For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into two-party vote shares. This procedure yields figures of 42.9% for Clinton and 57.1% for Trump.
Comparison to the combined PollyVote
The latest PollyVote anticipates Trump to gain 60.9% of the two-party vote in Utah. That is, Polly's prediction is 3.8 points above his polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus within the poll's sampling error.