Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon poll in Minnesota: Clinton with 13 points lead

Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon released the results of a new poll, in which respondents from Minnesota were asked for whom they will vote: Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump.

Of those who answered the question, 48.0% said that they plan to vote for former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, while 35.0% revealed that they would give their vote to real estate developer Donald Trump.

This poll was conducted from April 25 to April 27, among a random sample of 800 registered voters. If one takes into account the poll's sampling error of +/-3.5 percentage points, the difference in voter support is statistically significant.

Putting the results in context

As any other method, polls are subject to bias. Therefore, as a general rule, don't have too much confidence in the results of an individual poll. Rather, one should examine how a poll's results compare to benchmark forecasts.

For the following analysis, we translate the candidates' raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. This yields figures of 57.8% for Clinton and 42.2% for Trump.

Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction

The current PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 55.9% of the two-party vote in Minnesota. This means that the combined PollyVote is 1.9 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is therefore within the poll's sampling error.

This article was automatically generated by the PollyBot, which uses algorithms developed by AX Semantics to generate text from data stored in our API. The exact dataset underlying this particular article can be found here.

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