Results of a new poll carried out by PPP (D) were released. The poll asked interviewees from Maryland for whom they will vote: Republican Donald Trump or Democrat Hillary Clinton.
PPP (D) poll results
Of those who replied, 61.0% said that they will vote for former New York Senator Hillary Clinton, while 28.0% declared that they would give their vote to businessman Donald Trump.
The poll was conducted from April 15 to April 17 among 879 registered voters. Considering the poll's error margin of +/-3.3 percentage points, the spread between both candidates is statistically significant.
Putting the results in context
As any other method, polls are subject to bias. As a result, one should not have too much confidence in the results of a single poll. Instead of trusting the results from single polls, you should consult combined polls or, even better, the combined PollyVote forecast that uses different methods and data.
For the following comparison, we convert Trump's and Clinton's raw poll numbers into shares of the two-party vote. The respective figures are 68.5% for Clinton and 31.5% for Trump. In the most recent PPP (D) poll on September 11 Clinton obtained only 31.5%, while Trump obtained only 0.0%.
Results in comparison to other polls
Clinton is currently at 69.0% of the two-party vote according to an average of recent polls in Maryland. This value is 0.5 percentage points higher than her respective numbers in the PPP (D) poll. This deviation is within the poll's sampling error, which suggests that the poll is not an outlier.
Results compared to the combined PollyVote prediction
The latest PollyVote expects Clinton to gain 64.5% of the two-party vote in Maryland. This means that the combined PollyVote is 4.0 points below her polling numbers. The PollyVote forecast is thus outside the poll's error margin.